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Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Japan’s Minority Government Poised to Lose Control of Upper House: Exit Polls

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Japan’s Minority Government Poised to Lose Control of Upper House: Exit Polls

Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, leader of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), raises his fist from atop the campaigning bus on the last day of campaigning for the July 20 upper house election, in Tokyo, Japan July 19, 2025. REUTERS/Manami Yamada

Japan’s ruling coalition is on course to lose its majority in the upper house, according to exit polls from the July 20 election.

After forfeiting control of the more powerful lower house last October, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba faces an uncertain future if his coalition loses Sunday’s ballot. Additionally, the voting is taking place against an imminent Aug. 1 trade negotiation deadline with the United States.

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