The USS Abraham Lincoln conducts U.S. blockade operations related to the Strait of Hormuz in the Arabian Sea on April 16, 2026. U.S. Navy via Getty ImagesCommentaryWar often tempts analysts to focus on political headlines, and events at sea or in the air. That is a mistake in the Iran conflict. The decisive terrain in the current confrontation with Iran is economic, systemic, and ultimately political. What we are witnessing is not simply a naval contest in the Persian Gulf. It is a test of whether a regime built on circumvention can survive when that option is removed.
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