Poll Predicts One Nation in the Running for 55 Federal Seats

One Nation Leader Senator Pauline Hanson is seen with people attending the Australia Marches rally during Australia Day celebrations in Brisbane, Australia on Jan. 26, 2026. AAP Image/Darren England New polling of more than 8,400 Australian voters reveals the conservative-leaning One Nation could threaten to take 46-55 of the 128 federal lower house seats if an election were held now.Under the new modelling, Labor still holds the majority with 77-86 seats, but One Nation leads the Liberal-National Coalition in all its seats, while making inroads into suburban seats that surround Australia’s major cities—electorates that swung to Labor at the last election.