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Saturday, December 13, 2025

Rate Hold Means Status Quo for Canada’s Struggling Housing Market: Experts

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Real estate watchers say the Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its key policy rate steady at 2.75 percent will likely keep a sluggish housing market at the status quo.

Wednesday’s announcement marked the first time the central bank has left the benchmark rate unchanged following seven consecutive cuts since June.

Ratesdotca mortgage and real estate expert Victor Tran says the current economic environment is not inspiring consumer confidence in large purchases, such as a mortgage on a home, and the Bank of Canada’s rate hold won’t do much to change that.

National home sales had begun picking up late last year after some rate cuts and economists had predicted an uptick in activity throughout 2025 before economic uncertainty caused by the U.S.-Canada trade war put a damper on those hopes.

Tran says housing market activity could pick up if analysts’ forecasts of two more cuts this year materialize, as this would lead to lower variable mortgage rates.

Meanwhile, he says volatility in the bond yield market has yet to result in significant changes to fixed-rate mortgages, but fixed rates may increase if bond yields continue to rise.

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